Match

Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIStargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).

Lech Poznań II win44 %
Draw24 %
Stargard Szczeciński win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luzino(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa(away)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lech Poznań II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński 4-2 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026Lech Poznań II 1-1 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 13, 2025Stargard Szczeciński 3-3 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
May 31, 2025Lech Poznań II 2-4 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 9, 2024Stargard Szczeciński 2-1 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 25, 2021Lech Poznań II 1-1 Stargard SzczecińskiII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Stargard Szczeciński1.71.5510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
9Stargard Szczeciński52129107

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznań II and Stargard Szczeciński

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