Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lech Poznań II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 4-2 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 1-1 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 3-3 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 31, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 2-4 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stargard Szczeciński 2-1 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Lech Poznań II 1-1 Stargard Szczeciński | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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