Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: result 4-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 7, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest won 4-2 on January 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 20′E. LichajNottingham Forest
- 23′P. MertesackerArsenal
- 44′E. LichajNottingham Forest
- 64′B. BreretonNottingham Forest (pen.)
- 79′D. WelbeckArsenal
- 85′K. DowellNottingham Forest (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Arsenal have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2018 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Sunderland(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Bristol City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2018 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2017 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2017 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Liverpool(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2017 | West Ham(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nottingham Forest win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2016 | Nottingham Forest 0-4 Arsenal | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal on Sep 20, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy