Nottingham Forest vs Coventry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?
Nottingham Forest starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 2,025).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Coventry have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nottingham Forest win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Coventry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2022 | Nottingham Forest 1-3 Coventry | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Coventry 2-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Coventry 1-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry on Jul 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Coventry | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Coventry sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?
- The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Coventry played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Coventry is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.