Notts County vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,599 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Plymouth?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Notts County (1,818) and Plymouth (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Plymouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 11C. Grant
- 19L. Smyth
- 20S. Robertson
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Plymouth
3-4-3- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 10X. Amaechi
- 7H. White
- 19T. Bakinson
- 8J. Edwards
- 11R. Curtis
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 1M. Mahoney
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Notts County win, 0 draws, 3 Plymouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | Plymouth 0-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Notts County 1-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Plymouth 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2015 | Notts County 0-2 Plymouth | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Notts County on Feb 28, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 17th in League One (14 points from 12 matches) and Plymouth sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Notts County vs Plymouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Plymouth played?
- Notts County vs Plymouth is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.