Notts County vs Swansea: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 27, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Notts County vs Swansea?
Notts County and Swansea drew 1-1 on January 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. NarsinghSwansea
- 62′Jon SteadNotts County
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Swansea have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Exeter City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Lincoln(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Brentford(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2018 | Port Vale(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | Liverpool(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2018 | Wolves(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Wolves(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2018 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Swansea | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy