QPR vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If QPR wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
On Elo ratings, QPR has 1,947 points and Swansea 2,055.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for QPR vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
QPR
4-2-3-1- 26Rayan Jawad Kolli
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 11P. Smyth
- 20H. Vale
- 17K. Poku
- 5R. Edwards
- 3J. Dunne
- 2K. Adamson
- 12B. Kemper
- 1P. Charles
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 8E. Just
- 14J. Tymon
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Swansea have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Derby(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 QPR wins, 1 draw, 3 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | QPR 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Swansea 0-1 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2025 | QPR 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Swansea 3-0 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Swansea 0-1 QPR | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | QPR 1-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Swansea | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 5th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and Swansea sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
A question about QPR vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Swansea.
- Where and when is QPR vs Swansea played?
- QPR vs Swansea is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.