Match

Albinoleffe vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola

AlbinoleffeNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albinoleffe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albinoleffe vs Novara?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Albinoleffe (1,763) and Novara (1,734).

38%29%33%
Albinoleffe winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Albinoleffe vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Albinoleffe

4-3-3
  1. 70J. Desogus
  2. 18A. Orfei
  3. 11G. Sali
  1. 5A. Mandelli
  2. 14S. Sassi
  3. 19M. Agostinelli
  1. 4S. Potop
  2. 23E. Sottini
  3. 77L. Ballo
  4. 2B. Barba
  1. 12G. Baldi

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Lanini
  2. 14M. Romano
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 5F. Lorenzini
  4. 28A. Cannavaro
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albinoleffe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albinoleffe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Cittadella(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Alcione(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Juventus U23(away)5-3Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albinoleffe wins, 3 draws, 1 Novara win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2026Novara 2-2 AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A
Sep 28, 2025Albinoleffe 3-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Mar 2, 2025Albinoleffe 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2024Novara 2-0 AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A
Mar 10, 2024Albinoleffe 0-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Nov 4, 2023Novara 0-3 AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Albinoleffe on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Albinoleffe score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albinoleffe1.71.3311/1511/15
Novara0.91.146/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Albinoleffe sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (12 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Albinoleffe9333141312
14Novara92348129

A question about Albinoleffe vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albinoleffe vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Novara.
Where and when is Albinoleffe vs Novara played?
Albinoleffe vs Novara is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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