Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City?
Ntugasaze won 1-0 on October 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′?Ntugasaze
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Ntugasaze have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Mbarara City have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Buhimba Saints(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ntugasaze score 0.5 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 4; Mbarara City score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ntugasaze | 0.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Mbarara City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ntugasaze sit 16th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Mbarara City sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy