Palestino vs Colo Colo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Palestino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palestino vs Colo Colo?
Colo Colo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palestino have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Colo Colo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palestino win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Colo Colo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Colo Colo 0-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Palestino 0-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Colo Colo 1-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Palestino 2-3 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| May 19, 2024 | Colo Colo 2-0 Palestino | Primera División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Palestino 1-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Colo Colo vs Palestino on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palestino score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colo Colo score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Colo Colo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palestino sit 5th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Colo Colo sit 1st (36 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palestino vs Colo Colo?
- The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Palestino.
- Where and when is Palestino vs Colo Colo played?
- Palestino vs Colo Colo is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.