O'Higgins vs Cobresal: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Cobresal. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O'Higgins vs Cobresal?
O'Higgins starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O'Higgins have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cobresal have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 O'Higgins win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cobresal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cobresal 2-3 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | O'Higgins 1-0 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Cobresal 0-0 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Cobresal 3-1 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| May 26, 2024 | O'Higgins 2-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2023 | O'Higgins 0-0 Cobresal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cobresal vs O'Higgins on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cobresal score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cobresal | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O'Higgins sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Cobresal sit 15th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O'Higgins vs Cobresal?
- The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Cobresal.
- Where and when is O'Higgins vs Cobresal played?
- O'Higgins vs Cobresal is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Teniente, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.