Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab AI model makes Universidad de Concepcion the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nublense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Universidad de Concepcion wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?
On Elo ratings, Universidad de Concepcion has 1,602 points and Nublense 1,753.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Universidad de Concepcion
4-4-2- 18C. Waterman
- 20L. Rojas
- 16B. Ogaz
- 10J. Fuentealba
- 25H. Salgado
- 8F. Mater
- 3M. Barbieri
- 17M. González
- 11A. Díaz
- 4O. González
- 1J. Broun
Nublense
4-1-4-1- 26E. Calderón
- 21L. Reyes
- 10M. Plaza
- 8G. Graciani
- 11L. Molina
- 18D. Céspedes
- 15S. Valencia
- 6P. Calderón
- 14J. Campusano
- 5F. Campos
- 1N. Pérez
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad de Concepcion have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Nublense have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-6 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Palestino(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 0-6 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 2-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 22, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Universidad de Concepcion wins, 1 draw, 5 Nublense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 Nublense | Copa Chile |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Nublense 4-2 Universidad de Concepcion | Copa Chile |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nublense 2-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Copa De La Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Nublense 2-2 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 0-2 Nublense | Copa De La Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Nublense 2-0 Universidad de Concepcion | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense on Jul 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad de Concepcion score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nublense score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nublense | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th in Primera División (23 points from 26 matches) and Nublense sit 9th (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 47 | 23 |
A question about Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Universidad de Concepcion the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nublense.
- Where and when is Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense played?
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.