Nublense vs LDU de Quito: result 0-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 16Kick-off on August 4, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
Full time
What was the result of Nublense vs LDU de Quito?
LDU de Quito won 0-1 on August 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 60′P. GuerreroLDU de Quito
Official lineup for Nublense vs LDU de Quito
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nublense
3-1-4-2- 12P. Rubio
- 26I. Sosa
- 14J. Campusano
- 11J. Leiva
- 23S. Dittborn
- 21R. Rebolledo
- 6L. Reyes
- 33N. Zalazar
- 5R. Caroca
- 18B. Cerezo
- 1N. Pérez
LDU de Quito
4-4-2- 21Sebastían González Baquero
- 24P. Guerrero
- 10Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
- 18Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
- 16Mauricio Leonel Martínez
- 32Alex Renato Ibarra Mina
- 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
- 4Ricardo Ade
- 3Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
- 14José Alfredo Quintero Ordóñez
- 22Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; LDU de Quito have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2023 | O'Higgins(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2023 | A. Italiano(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Magallanes(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 13, 2023 | A. Italiano(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2023 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Cumbayá(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Botafogo(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Libertad(home) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; LDU de Quito score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| LDU de Quito | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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