Match

Numancia vs Getafe II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaGetafe II

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Getafe II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Getafe II?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Numancia (1,946) and Getafe II (1,905).

Numancia win48 %
Draw27 %
Getafe II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Getafe II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaragoza(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Poblense(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Poblense(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Langreo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Getafe II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Orihuela(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Numancia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Getafe II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 18, 2025Numancia 0-1 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 11, 2025Getafe II 0-2 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Mar 10, 2024Getafe II 0-3 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 29, 2023Numancia 1-1 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Getafe II on May 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.30.949/157/15
Getafe II1.31.065/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Getafe II341699553557

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Getafe II?
The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Getafe II.
Where and when is Numancia vs Getafe II played?
Numancia vs Getafe II is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Numancia and Getafe II

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