Where and when is Oakland Roots vs Lexington played?

Oakland Roots vs Lexington is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oakland Roots vs Lexington: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Pioneer Stadium, Hayward, California

Oakland Roots

Lexington

The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oakland Roots vs Lexington?

Lexington starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,642).

Oakland Roots win28 %

Draw27 %

Lexington win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oakland Roots have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lexington have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oakland Roots
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)	0-1	USL Championship

Lexington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	3-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Oakland Roots win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lexington win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 22, 2026	Lexington 2-0 Oakland Roots	USL Championship
Oct 26, 2025	Oakland Roots 3-0 Lexington	USL Championship
Aug 23, 2025	Lexington 2-1 Oakland Roots	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Lexington vs Oakland Roots on Jul 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oakland Roots	0.9	1.4	4	7/15	5/15
Lexington	1.7	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oakland Roots sit 4th in USL Championship (18 points from 13 matches) and Lexington sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19	17	18
7	Lexington	20	9	4	7	30	23	31
8	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
10	Oakland Roots	22	6	8	8	27	30	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oakland Roots vs Lexington?: The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oakland Roots.
Where and when is Oakland Roots vs Lexington played?: Oakland Roots vs Lexington is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.