Match

Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Pioneer Stadium, Hayward, California

Oakland RootsOrange County SC

The Footlab model makes Orange County SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Oakland Roots (1,642) and Orange County SC (1,706).

Oakland Roots win34 %
Draw26 %
Orange County SC win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oakland Roots have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Orange County SC have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oakland Roots
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Antonio(away)1-0USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Monterey Bay(home)1-1USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026El Paso Locomotive(away)0-1USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)0-0USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship
Orange County SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC Tulsa(home)1-5USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Louisville City(home)2-3USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies(home)0-3USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026El Paso Locomotive(home)2-0USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026Monterey Bay(away)2-1USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oakland Roots win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Orange County SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Orange County SC 3-2 Oakland RootsUSL Championship
Mar 29, 2026Oakland Roots 0-1 Orange County SCUSL Championship
Jul 26, 2025Oakland Roots 0-1 Orange County SCUSL League One Cup
Apr 19, 2025Oakland Roots 2-0 Orange County SCUSL Championship
Mar 9, 2025Orange County SC 4-2 Oakland RootsUSL Championship
Jun 30, 2024Orange County SC 0-2 Oakland RootsUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Orange County SC score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oakland Roots0.91.447/155/15
Orange County SC1.72.1112/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oakland Roots sit 4th in USL Championship (18 points from 13 matches) and Orange County SC sit 2nd (20 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Orange County SC12552151120
2Orange County SC21975323034
4Oakland Roots13463191718
10Oakland Roots22688273026

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
The Footlab model makes Orange County SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Oakland Roots.
Where and when is Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC played?
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oakland Roots and Orange County SC

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