Carina Gubin vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-4 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II 4-1 Carina Gubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Carina Gubin 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 2-2 Carina Gubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0 Carina Gubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2022 | Carina Gubin 0-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
- Carina Gubin vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 10, 2027ROW RybnikvsStilon Gorzów
- Apr 10, 2027KluczborkvsSparta Katowice
- Apr 10, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Apr 10, 2027Warta GorzówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Apr 10, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsStal Brzeg
- Apr 10, 2027Barycz SułówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Apr 10, 2027SłowianinvsSKRA Częstochowa