Match

Genk vs Gent: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk

GenkGent

The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Gent. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Genk vs Gent?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Genk (2,031) and Gent (1,981).

Genk win43 %
Draw26 %
Gent win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gent have 4, 10 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Genk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)3-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 9, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 2, 2026Twente(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026FC OSS(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Gent
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Hibernian(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026RAAL La Louvière(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Aug 13, 2026IFK Goteborg(home)1-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 9, 2026KV Mechelen(home)2-0Jupiler Pro League
Aug 6, 2026IFK Goteborg(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Genk win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Gent win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Gent 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
Mar 1, 2026Genk 3-0 GentJupiler Pro League
Nov 9, 2025Gent 1-1 GenkJupiler Pro League
May 18, 2025Gent 1-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
Mar 30, 2025Genk 4-0 GentJupiler Pro League
Feb 23, 2025Genk 0-0 GentJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Gent vs Genk on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Genk score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Genk1.51.548/1510/15
Gent1.31.077/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gent sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Gent2200416
7Genk2101443

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Genk vs Gent?
The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Gent.
Where and when is Genk vs Gent played?
Genk vs Gent is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Genk and Gent

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