KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate KVC Westerlo (1,836) and Standard Liege (1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 KVC Westerlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Standard Liege win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Standard Liege 1-2 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 0-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 24, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-1 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 16th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Standard Liege sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standard Liege | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege played?
- KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.