Okzhetpes vs Zhenys: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oqjetpes, Kokshetau
The Footlab model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Zhenys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Okzhetpes vs Zhenys?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Okzhetpes (1,562) and Zhenys (1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Okzhetpes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Zhenys have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Altay(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Okzhetpes win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Zhenys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Okzhetpes 2-3 Zhenys | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zhenys 1-1 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Zhenys 0-0 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Zhenys | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Zhenys | 1. Division |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Zhenys 0-3 Okzhetpes | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Okzhetpes score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zhenys score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zhenys | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Okzhetpes sit 4th in Premier League (36 points from 22 matches) and Zhenys sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Zhenys | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Okzhetpes vs Zhenys?
- The Footlab model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Zhenys.
- Where and when is Okzhetpes vs Zhenys played?
- Okzhetpes vs Zhenys is played on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oqjetpes, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.