Oldham vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldham vs Northampton?
Oldham starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oldham vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 7K. Appiah-Forson
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 14N. Chilvers
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 24L. Temple
- 3J. Robson
- 2G. Scott-Morriss
- 6E. Monthe
- 1M. Hudson
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Northampton have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 4-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oldham win, 1 draw, 4 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Oldham 3-1 Northampton | FA Cup |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Oldham 0-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Northampton 2-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Oldham 2-2 Northampton | League Two |
| May 4, 2019 | Oldham 2-5 Northampton | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Northampton 2-1 Oldham | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and Northampton sit 23rd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Oldham vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Oldham vs Northampton played?
- Oldham vs Northampton is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.