Match

Port Vale vs Colchester: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Port ValeColchester

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Port Vale vs Colchester?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Port Vale (1,873) and Colchester (1,813).

50%27%23%
Port Vale winDrawColchester win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Colchester

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 8B. Garrity
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 3J. Headley
  5. 10K. Dempsey
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Colchester

4-2-3-1
  1. 9B. Ihionvien
  1. 12M. Sesay
  2. 26J. Williams
  3. 6P. Digby
  4. 27O. Thorn
  5. 15B. Lubala
  1. 3E. Iandolo
  2. 5J. Tucker
  3. 2R. Hunt
  4. 24F. Terry
  1. 22T. Lo-Tutala

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Colchester have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Colchester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Exeter City(home)0-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Newport County(away)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Luton(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 26, 2026Shrewsbury(away)2-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Port Vale wins, 2 draws, 2 Colchester wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 11, 2025Colchester 2-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Oct 1, 2024Port Vale 1-1 ColchesterLeague Two
Mar 5, 2022Colchester 1-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Oct 23, 2021Port Vale 3-0 ColchesterLeague Two
Mar 20, 2021Colchester 0-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Dec 12, 2020Port Vale 1-1 ColchesterLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Port Vale on Mar 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Port Vale score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Port Vale0.70.974/152/15
Colchester0.91.429/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Port Vale sit 20th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Colchester sit 19th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Colchester11263111412
20Port Vale1033461012

A question about Port Vale vs Colchester?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Colchester?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Colchester.
Where and when is Port Vale vs Colchester played?
Port Vale vs Colchester is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Port Vale and Colchester

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