Shrewsbury vs Grimsby: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Grimsby?
Grimsby starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,673).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Grimsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 8Isaac Andrew Fletcher
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 18K. M. Brown
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shrewsbury wins, 2 draws, 2 Grimsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grimsby 1-2 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Grimsby 1-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Grimsby 3-1 Shrewsbury | League Cup |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Grimsby | FA Cup |
| Dec 7, 2015 | Grimsby 0-0 Shrewsbury | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 18th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Grimsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Grimsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Grimsby played?
- Shrewsbury vs Grimsby is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.