Swindon Town vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Rochdale?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,815) and Rochdale (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 19J. Snowdon
- 7T. Nichols
- 25J. Thomson
- 6J. Ball
- 27A. Munda
- 2M. Clark
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 16S. Inwood
- 5S. Negru
- 1C. Ripley
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swindon Town win, 3 draws, 2 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale 1-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Rochdale 4-4 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Swindon Town 3-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Rochdale 0-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Swindon Town 2-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2021 | Rochdale 2-1 Swindon Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Swindon Town on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 14th in League Two (16 points from 13 matches) and Rochdale sit 17th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Rochdale played?
- Swindon Town vs Rochdale is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.