Newport County vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Gillingham?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Newport County (1,809) and Gillingham (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gillingham have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newport County wins, 2 draws, 2 Gillingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham 0-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Gillingham 3-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Newport County 1-1 Gillingham | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Newport County 1-3 Gillingham | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Newport County 3-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Gillingham 0-2 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Newport County on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 12th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Gillingham sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Newport County vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Gillingham played?
- Newport County vs Gillingham is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.