Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Unión Molinense (1,824) and Atlético Pulpileño (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unión Molinense win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense 1-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño 2-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Unión Molinense 3-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-4 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (59 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 59 |
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
- Unión Molinense vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.