Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Almalyk
The Footlab model makes Olmaliq the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Kokand-1912. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912?
Olmaliq starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olmaliq have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kokand-1912 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Surkhon(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Buxoro(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Nasaf(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Olmaliq win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kokand-1912 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kokand-1912 1-4 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Olmaliq 0-1 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| May 10, 2025 | Kokand-1912 1-3 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Kokand-1912 0-0 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Olmaliq 3-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Kokand-1912 2-2 Olmaliq | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kokand-1912 vs Olmaliq on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olmaliq score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kokand-1912 score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olmaliq | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Kokand-1912 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olmaliq sit 8th in Super League (16 points from 11 matches) and Kokand-1912 sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Olmaliq | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 29 |
| 8 | Olmaliq | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912?
- The Footlab model makes Olmaliq the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Kokand-1912.
- Where and when is Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912 played?
- Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912 is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.