Bunyodkor vs Mash'al: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Bunyodkor the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Mash'al. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bunyodkor wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Mash'al?
Bunyodkor starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,450).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bunyodkor vs Mash'al
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bunyodkor
3-4-2-1- 10A. Turakulov
- 21N. Abdusalomov
- 45S. Tursunmahammadov
- 14S. Nematjonov
- 18N.Ahmadjonov
- 88M. Annamatov
- 20A. Bobomurodov
- 3S. Rakhmanov
- 13M. Khakimov
- 27I. Anvarov
- 1A. Abdujalilov
Mash'al
4-3-3- 11M. Jurabaev
- 9I. Ganikhonov
- 13M. Eslami
- 8S. Abduraymov
- 5K. Tozhidinov
- 28E. Ismoilov
- 70Azizbek Choriyev
- 2Zafar Akramov
- 19Tokhirbek To'khtasinov
- 99B. Askarov
- 35D. Tukhtaboev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bunyodkor have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Mash'al have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 2-5 | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bunyodkor wins, 2 draws, 0 Mash'al wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Mash'al 0-1 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bunyodkor 2-1 Mash'al | Super League |
| May 26, 2025 | Mash'al 1-1 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2021 | Mash'al 1-1 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Bunyodkor 1-0 Mash'al | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Mash'al 1-2 Bunyodkor | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bunyodkor score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mash'al score 0.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunyodkor | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mash'al | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bunyodkor sit 14th in Super League (22 points from 23 matches) and Mash'al sit 16th (4 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 47 | 4 |
A question about Bunyodkor vs Mash'al?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bunyodkor vs Mash'al?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bunyodkor the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Mash'al.
- Where and when is Bunyodkor vs Mash'al played?
- Bunyodkor vs Mash'al is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milliy Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.