Buxoro vs Surkhon: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tukimachi Stadioni, Bukhara
The Footlab AI model makes Buxoro the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Surkhon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxoro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxoro vs Surkhon?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Buxoro (1,683) and Surkhon (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxoro vs Surkhon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxoro
4-3-3- 22A. Joraboev
- 10S. Ubaydullaev
- 9N. Kacharava
- 25S. Esanov
- 11Temur Mamasidiqov
- 21K. Ruziev
- 78V. Rodić
- 42K. Todorov
- 7K. Mukhtarov
- 27M. Yuldoshev
- 12U. Khamroyev
Surkhon
4-3-3- 11R. Friday
- 19F. Qodirov
- 33U. Kuvandikov
- 21Tornike Dzebniauri
- 8H. Sherbotayev
- 15D. Ramazonov
- 7D. Tursunov
- 6B. Shamsiev
- 66B. Shaydulov
- 26B. Shukurullaev
- 25O. Boymurodov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxoro have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Surkhon have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | PFK Guliston(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Buxoro wins, 2 draws, 4 Surkhon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Surkhon 3-1 Buxoro | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Buxoro 0-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Surkhon 0-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Buxoro 1-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Surkhon 2-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Surkhon 2-0 Buxoro | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxoro score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Surkhon score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxoro | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Surkhon | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxoro sit 6th in Super League (37 points from 23 matches) and Surkhon sit 12th (27 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 37 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
A question about Buxoro vs Surkhon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxoro vs Surkhon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxoro the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Surkhon.
- Where and when is Buxoro vs Surkhon played?
- Buxoro vs Surkhon is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tukimachi Stadioni, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.