Olympiakos vs Pafos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pafos wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Pafos?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympiakos vs Pafos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympiakos
3-4-1-2- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 15R. Sappinen
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro
- 6Georgios Okkas
- 10D. Prokop
- 55Henrique Gomes
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 23M. Pechlivanis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
Pafos
4-3-3- 18Lelê
- 8Domingos Quina
- 20Biel
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 30V. Dragomir
- 4David Luiz
- 14N. Ioannou
- 3S. Mmaee
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 99R. Majecki
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pafos have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olympiakos win, 3 draws, 2 Pafos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos 0-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Olympiakos 2-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Pafos 2-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Olympiakos 0-1 Pafos | Cup |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Olympiakos 1-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Pafos 1-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pafos | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos sit 10th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Olympiakos vs Pafos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos vs Pafos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Olympiakos vs Pafos played?
- Olympiakos vs Pafos is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.