Omonia Nicosia vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Aris. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Aris?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Omonia Nicosia vs Aris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Omonia Nicosia
3-4-3- 99L. Diony
- 8D. Akintola
- 9A. Kakoullis
- 11Ewandro
- 74P. Andreou
- 14M. Marić
- 22M. Tankovic
- 93J. Duverne
- 37Ľ. Šatka
- 5S. Coulibaly
- 40Fabiano
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 6A. Opoku
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 24G. Kalulu
- 7Anderson Correia
- 91M. Zadro
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Aris have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Nov 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AEL(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Omonia Nicosia wins, 3 draws, 0 Aris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aris 1-4 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 3-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aris 2-2 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Aris 3-5 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| May 12, 2025 | Aris 3-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aris vs Omonia Nicosia on Sep 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Aris | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Nicosia sit 2nd in 1. Division (18 points from 9 matches) and Aris sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Aris | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Omonia Nicosia vs Aris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Aris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Aris.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs Aris played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs Aris is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.