Match

AEL vs Apoel Nicosia: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

AELApoel Nicosia

The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apoel Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AEL vs Apoel Nicosia?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate AEL (1,825) and Apoel Nicosia (1,909).

30%26%44%
AEL winDrawApoel Nicosia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AEL vs Apoel Nicosia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AEL

4-1-4-1
  1. 9S. Jovetić
  1. 10R. Oudin
  2. 6D. Zdravkovski
  3. 20João Tavares
  4. 11L. Singh
  5. 77F. Mughe
  1. 23Diogo Gomes
  2. 33E. Antoniou
  3. 22K. Neofytou
  4. 35Sérgio Conceição
  1. 1S. Kapino

Apoel Nicosia

4-1-4-1
  1. 15F. Pedrozo
  1. 8Dálcio
  2. 18D. Limnios
  3. 9A. Bakasetas
  4. 72A. Barák
  5. 10Marquinhos
  1. 34K. Laifis
  2. 3K. Stafylidis
  3. 25Joan Sastre
  4. 16Álvaro Carrillo
  1. 27V. Belec

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Apoel Nicosia have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AEL
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Iraklis Yerolakkou(home)2-1Cup
Oct 31, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-21. Division
Oct 25, 2026Aris(home)1-31. Division
Oct 18, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-01. Division
Oct 11, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)2-11. Division
Apoel Nicosia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-11. Division
Oct 28, 2026Halkanoras(home)5-2Cup
Oct 25, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)4-11. Division
Oct 19, 2026Pafos(away)0-01. Division
Oct 10, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEL win, 1 draw, 4 Apoel Nicosia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Apoel Nicosia 6-0 AEL1. Division
Feb 28, 2026AEL 2-3 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
Nov 23, 2025Apoel Nicosia 1-2 AEL1. Division
Feb 16, 2025AEL 1-2 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
Nov 10, 2024Apoel Nicosia 4-0 AEL1. Division
Feb 11, 2024AEL 1-1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division

Last archived meeting: Apoel Nicosia vs AEL on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Apoel Nicosia score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AEL1.51.448/158/15
Apoel Nicosia1.91.6210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AEL sit 5th in 1. Division (15 points from 8 matches) and Apoel Nicosia sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5AEL8503111315
6Apoel Nicosia8422181014

A question about AEL vs Apoel Nicosia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AEL vs Apoel Nicosia?
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for AEL.
Where and when is AEL vs Apoel Nicosia played?
AEL vs Apoel Nicosia is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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