Where and when is Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds played?

Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Championship Soccer Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, California

Orange County SC

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Orange County SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,706).

Orange County SC win27 %

Draw30 %

Pittsburgh Riverhounds win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orange County SC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orange County SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	1-5	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Louisville City(home)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(home)	0-3	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Monterey Bay(away)	2-1	USL Championship

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Brooklyn(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Charleston Battery(home)	3-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Sacramento Republic(home)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Oakland Roots(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	0-1	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Orange County SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 9, 2025	Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Orange County SC	USL Championship
Mar 16, 2024	Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 Orange County SC	USL Championship
Aug 17, 2023	Orange County SC 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	USL Championship
Sep 24, 2022	Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Orange County SC	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC on Aug 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Orange County SC score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Orange County SC	1.7	2.1	1	12/15	12/15
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1.0	0.6	8	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orange County SC sit 2nd in USL Championship (20 points from 12 matches) and Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Orange County SC	12	5	5	2	15	11	20
2	Orange County SC	21	9	7	5	32	30	34
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	21	10	3	8	24	21	33
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	11	6	1	4	15	13	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?: The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Orange County SC.
Where and when is Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds played?: Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Championship Soccer Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.