Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for La Unión Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,845) and La Unión Atlético (1,876).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; La Unión Atlético have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Orihuela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 La Unión Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Orihuela 0-2 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | La Unión Atlético 1-0 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | La Unión Atlético 0-0 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Orihuela 1-0 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | La Unión Atlético 0-1 Orihuela | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; La Unión Atlético score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| La Unión Atlético | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for La Unión Atlético.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético played?
- Orihuela vs La Unión Atlético is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.