Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, Ibiza
The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Peña Deportiva (1,928) and Orihuela (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Deportiva have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Orihuela have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Peña Deportiva win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Orihuela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | Peña Deportiva 1-1 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Orihuela 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela on Feb 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela played?
- Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.