Osaka vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 1-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 1-2 Osaka | J3 League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Osaka 1-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Osaka 2-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Osaka 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Osaka on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Osaka vs Gainare Tottori is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027FC GifuvsKagoshima United
- Apr 17, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsParceiro Nagano
- Apr 17, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsKamatamare Sanuki
- Apr 17, 2027Roasso KumamotovsFukushima United
- Apr 17, 2027KitakyushuvsEhime FC
- Apr 17, 2027FC RyukyuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Apr 17, 2027SagamiharavsBiwako Shiga
- Apr 17, 2027Kochi UnitedvsTochigi SC