Match

Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaBiwako Shiga

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,770) and Biwako Shiga (1,713).

Sagamihara win51 %
Draw24 %
Biwako Shiga win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League
Biwako Shiga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)0-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Japan Soccer College(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 9, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-3J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sagamihara win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Biwako Shiga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2013Sagamihara 2-1 Biwako ShigaJ3 League
May 26, 2013Biwako Shiga 0-1 SagamiharaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga on Aug 4, 2013

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15
Biwako Shiga1.21.938/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagamihara3210627
6Biwako Shiga3201676

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga?
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga played?
Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sagamihara and Biwako Shiga

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