Kitakyushu vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Ehime FC?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,620) and Ehime FC (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Ehime FC have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kitakyushu win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | Ehime FC 1-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Kitakyushu 0-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Ehime FC 1-1 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Kitakyushu 0-0 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Ehime FC 2-2 Kitakyushu | J2 League |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Kitakyushu 0-2 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu on Oct 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitakyushu | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kitakyushu.
- Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Ehime FC played?
- Kitakyushu vs Ehime FC is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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