Where and when is Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?

Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

Osaka

Matsumoto Yamaga

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Matsumoto Yamaga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701).

Osaka win38 %

Draw28 %

Matsumoto Yamaga win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 16, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kochi United(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 25, 2026	Ventforet Kofu(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Nara Club(home)	0-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 16, 2025	Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Osaka	J3 League
May 25, 2025	Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Osaka	Emperor Cup
May 7, 2025	Osaka 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
Jul 14, 2024	Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 Osaka	J3 League
Mar 23, 2024	Osaka 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
Sep 3, 2023	Osaka 3-1 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka on Nov 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Osaka	1.6	1.5	1	12/15	9/15
Matsumoto Yamaga	1.5	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
16	Matsumoto Yamaga	3	0	2	1	4	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?: The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Matsumoto Yamaga.
Where and when is Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?: Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.