Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sunpro Alwin Stadium, Matsumoto
The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
Matsumoto Yamaga starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matsumoto Yamaga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-4 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
- The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?
- Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.