Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoThespakusatsu Gunma

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).

Roasso Kumamoto win46 %
Draw26 %
Thespakusatsu Gunma win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Tohoku Gakuin University(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Sagamihara(home)1-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 29, 2024Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
Mar 3, 2024Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ2 League
Jul 5, 2023Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
May 3, 2023Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ2 League
Oct 8, 2022Roasso Kumamoto 5-1 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ2 League
May 25, 2022Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto on Sep 29, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma1.71.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012
20Thespakusatsu Gunma3003380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Thespakusatsu Gunma

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