Ostrovets FC vs Niva: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen ASK, Astravets
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ostrovets FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrovets FC vs Niva?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,552 vs 1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrovets FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Niva have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ostrovets FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Niva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Niva 2-0 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 1-2 Niva | 1. Division |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Niva 2-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Niva 1-0 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 3-3 Niva | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Niva 1-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrovets FC sit 12th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Niva sit 1st (42 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrovets FC vs Niva?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ostrovets FC.
- Where and when is Ostrovets FC vs Niva played?
- Ostrovets FC vs Niva is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen ASK, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.