Uni Minsk vs Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uni Minsk vs Minsk II?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Uni Minsk (1,353) and Minsk II (1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uni Minsk have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Minsk II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Uni Minsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Minsk II 2-1 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Uni Minsk 2-3 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Minsk II 1-1 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Minsk II vs Uni Minsk on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uni Minsk sit 13th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Minsk II sit 10th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uni Minsk vs Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Uni Minsk vs Minsk II played?
- Uni Minsk vs Minsk II is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.