Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Bumprom: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Molodechno
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Bumprom?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 (1,448) and Bumprom (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bumprom have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Volna(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bumprom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bumprom 0-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 0-0 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Bumprom 2-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 4-0 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Bumprom 2-0 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
| May 28, 2022 | Bumprom 0-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | Coppa |
Last archived meeting: Bumprom vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 sit 6th in 1. Division (35 points from 21 matches) and Bumprom sit 7th (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 35 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
| 10 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Bumprom?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4.
- Where and when is Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Bumprom played?
- Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Bumprom is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.