Knokke vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Olivier, Knokke-Heist
The Footlab AI model makes Knokke the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Knokke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Knokke vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Knokke (1,943) and Tienen (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Knokke vs Tienen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Knokke
Not enough data to predict the Knokke lineup.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Knokke have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Tienen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(home) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Knokke wins, 1 draw, 0 Tienen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke 2-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tienen 2-3 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Tienen 0-0 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Knokke 2-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Knokke 1-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Tienen 1-2 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Knokke score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knokke | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Tienen | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Knokke sit 10th in First Amateur Division (14 points from 11 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Knokke vs Tienen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Knokke vs Tienen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Knokke the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Knokke vs Tienen played?
- Knokke vs Tienen is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Olivier, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.