Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab AI model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ourense CF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,885) and Real Madrid III (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Madrid III have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ourense CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III played?
- Ourense CF vs Real Madrid III is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.