Where and when is Compostela vs Arosa played?

Compostela vs Arosa is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Compostela vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela

Compostela

Arosa

The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Compostela vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Compostela (1,886) and Arosa (1,904).

Compostela win47 %

Draw26 %

Arosa win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Compostela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Badalona II(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Badalona II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Atlético Arteixo(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026	Atlético Arteixo(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Compostela win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arosa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Arosa 0-2 Compostela	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 7, 2025	Compostela 1-0 Arosa	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 24, 2022	Compostela 2-1 Arosa	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 5, 2021	Arosa 0-1 Compostela	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 1, 2019	Compostela 2-0 Arosa	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arosa vs Compostela on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Compostela	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Arosa?: The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arosa.
Where and when is Compostela vs Arosa played?: Compostela vs Arosa is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.