Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Amorebieta?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,973) and Amorebieta (1,895).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Amorebieta?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Amorebieta played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Amorebieta is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.