Marino de Luanco vs Llanera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Llanera?
Llanera starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Llanera have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Marino de Luanco win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Llanera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Llanera 3-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 3-1 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Llanera 0-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Marino de Luanco 1-0 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Marino de Luanco on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Llanera | 1.9 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Llanera?
- The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Llanera played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Llanera is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.