Marino de Luanco vs Llanera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llanera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Llanera?
Llanera starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino de Luanco vs Llanera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Llanera have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Marino de Luanco wins, 0 draws, 2 Llanera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera 4-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Llanera 3-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 3-1 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Llanera 0-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Marino de Luanco 1-0 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Marino de Luanco on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino de Luanco sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Llanera sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Llanera | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Marino de Luanco vs Llanera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Llanera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Llanera played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Llanera is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.