Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Igralište Golema Rečica, Tetovo
The Footlab AI model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Aresimi. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje?
Vardar Skopje starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,552).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aresimi
4-3-3- 7L. Kaba
- 15F. Jusufi
- 30Diego Contreras
- 2S. Dzemaili
- 5M. Goni
- 4S. Mustafa
- 16M. Dardhishta
- 21A. Aliti
- 44A. Iljazi
- 33M. Mislimi
- 99D. Siljanovski
Vardar Skopje
4-3-3- 9A. Omeragikj
- 10Goran Zakarić
- 32D. Castañeda
- 6D. Babunski
- 71Miguel Ângelo Ferreira Pires
- 8B. Nikolov
- 4M. Matić
- 5F. Najdovski
- 21G. Jankulov
- 3M. Manevski
- 95D. Taleski
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aresimi have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vardar Skopje have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Mogila(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 3-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aresimi win, 1 draw, 4 Vardar Skopje wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Vardar Skopje 2-0 Aresimi | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aresimi 1-0 Vardar Skopje | First League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Vardar Skopje 5-1 Aresimi | First League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Aresimi 1-4 Vardar Skopje | First League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Vardar Skopje 1-1 Aresimi | Second League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Aresimi 0-1 Vardar Skopje | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Vardar Skopje vs Aresimi on Sep 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aresimi score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vardar Skopje score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aresimi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Vardar Skopje | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aresimi sit 8th in First League (10 points from 10 matches) and Vardar Skopje sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Aresimi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 10 |
A question about Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Aresimi.
- Where and when is Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje played?
- Aresimi vs Vardar Skopje is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište Golema Rečica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.