Paide vs Nõmme United: result 4-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Full time
What was the result of Paide vs Nõmme United?
Paide won 4-1 on August 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 27′Kristofer KäitPaide
- 30′K. OostenbrinkNõmme United
- 49′A. BadamosiPaide
- 75′H. AnierPaide
- 77′H. AnierPaide
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Paide win at 67%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Paide vs Nõmme United
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Paide
- 11M. Sohna
- 14M. Jobarteh
- 30A. Badamosi
- 77D. Luts
- 16A. Surogin
- 28O. Hõim
- 44Kristofer Käit
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 4Pedro Andrade Drozina
- 27N. Baranov
- 99E. Jarju
Nõmme United
- 2Y. Morishige
- 11C. Benjamin
- 20K. Mätas
- 10A. Frolov
- 26K. Oostenbrink
- 51Z. Beglarishvili
- 4A. Alteberg
- 23K. Läänelaid
- 45H. Järvelaid
- 55R. Chanda
- 71G. Pürg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Nõmme United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hiiumaa(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Raplamaa(home) | 12-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Paide wins, 0 draws, 0 Nõmme United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nõmme United 2-3 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Paide 3-1 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Nõmme United 0-4 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Paide 7-2 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| May 12, 2024 | Nõmme United 0-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Paide 3-1 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme United vs Paide on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paide score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme United score 2.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Nõmme United | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paide sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (54 points from 31 matches) and Nõmme United sit 9th (31 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 54 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | 31 |
A question about Paide vs Nõmme United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy